Espaly 2-4 PSG — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 15 Jan 2025

Espaly
2-4 HT 1-1
PSG
📅15/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
France - Cup – 2025/2026

Espaly vs PSG Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
12.23
Draw
15%
8.78
Away
72%
1.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
1.0
Over 2.5
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
17.0
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
36%
3.37
4-5 Goals
30%
2.25
6+ Goals
19%
2.14
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 3.37 — our 36% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
48%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
8%
+5.2pp
14%
Draw
11%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Espaly v PSG — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espaly EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG EU Bookmakers 97%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.11/0.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.71/0.64
+50% / +126% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +99% / +59%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
267 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 501 · 85%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.5
15.0 Crosses 15.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Espaly 2-4 PSG — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espaly
2-4
AWAY PSG
1.26 xG 4.25
17% Ball Possession 83%
6 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 4
118 Passes 816
63% Pass Accuracy 91%
10 Box Touches 41
5 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Espaly vs PSG
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG beat Espaly 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (71%) came in.

On the day, Espaly had 17% of the ball to PSG's 83%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 1.26 to 4.25.

What was the final score of Espaly vs PSG?

Espaly 2-4 PSG in the France - Cup on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espaly vs PSG?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Espaly 13%, draw 14%, PSG 72%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSG) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FRK More France - Cup
15 Jan 2025
20:00 Bourgoin vs Lyon Analysis →
20:30 Thaon vs RC Strasbourg Analysis →
20:30 Stade Briochin vs Annecy Analysis →
20:30 Quevilly vs Angers Analysis →
20:30 Brest vs Nantes Analysis →
20:30 Toulouse vs Stade Lavallois Analysis →