Al Ahly vs El Geish Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ahly v El Geish — Team-Based Signals
Al Ahly vs El Geish Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Al Ahly
MSR
2-1
HT 0-1
El Geish
MSR
1-0
HT 0-0
Al Ahly
MSR
Al Ahly 1-2 El Geish — Actual Match Statistics
El Geish squeezed past Al Ahly 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Al Ahly at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Al Ahly had 56% of the ball to El Geish's 44%, shots finished 17-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Ahly and 0.33 for El Geish.
What was the final score of Al Ahly vs El Geish?
Al Ahly 1-2 El Geish in the Egypt - League Cup on 15/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs El Geish?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 49%, draw 25%, El Geish 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ahly), Under 2.5 went the other way.