Sigma Olomouc 4-0 FK Pardubice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 29% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-10.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +17%
0.85/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.17
-25% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
302 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 70%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
25.7 Crosses 15.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sigma Olomouc
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FK Pardubice
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.61 xG 0.81
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
238 Passes 236
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.12.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-2 HT 0-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
30.03.2024 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 0-2 HT 0-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
21.10.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-1 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
26.02.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 2-2 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
04.09.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-2 HT 0-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
27.11.2021 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-5 HT 1-2 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sigma Olomouc
4-0
AWAY FK Pardubice
3.39 xG 0.27
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 1
269 Passes 309
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
34 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sigma Olomouc vs FK Pardubice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sigma Olomouc ran out comfortable winners over FK Pardubice 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sigma Olomouc as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sigma Olomouc had 47% of the ball to FK Pardubice's 53%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 3.39 to 0.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sigma Olomouc had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sigma Olomouc and 1.33 for FK Pardubice.

What was the final score of Sigma Olomouc vs FK Pardubice?

Sigma Olomouc 4-0 FK Pardubice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sigma Olomouc vs FK Pardubice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sigma Olomouc win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sigma Olomouc 46%, draw 27%, FK Pardubice 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sigma Olomouc), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sigma Olomouc) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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