Karvina vs Sparta Prag Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Karvina v Sparta Prag — Team-Based Signals
Karvina vs Sparta Prag Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Karvina
ÇEK
1-2
HT 0-0
Sparta Prag
ÇEK
2-0
HT 1-0
Karvina
ÇEK
4-3
HT 3-2
Karvina
ÇEK
Karvina 2-3 Sparta Prag — Actual Match Statistics
Sparta Prag edged past Karvina 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Karvina had 45% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 55%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.75 to 0.87 — the balance of chances actually favoured Karvina.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Karvina and 3.00 for Sparta Prag.
What was the final score of Karvina vs Sparta Prag?
Karvina 2-3 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Karvina vs Sparta Prag?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Karvina 24%, draw 26%, Sparta Prag 50%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.