Ceske Budejovice 2-3 Jablonec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
44%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.96
No
44%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.91
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
23%
3.59
6+ Goals
13%
15.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.59 — our 23% vs market 21.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+8.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.2pp
44%
Away Win
58%
-13.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.7pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceske Budejovice EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Jablonec EU Bookmakers 62%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
0.73/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.77
-25% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / -53%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
226 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
16.9 Crosses 35.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceske Budejovice
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Jablonec
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.07 xG 2.26
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
273 Passes 350
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.12.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 5-0 HT 4-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
19.05.2024 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 2-2 HT 2-2 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
17.02.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 5-2 HT 1-1 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
16.11.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 1-2 HT 1-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEKK
02.09.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 2-1 HT 1-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
23.04.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 5-1 HT 3-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceske Budejovice
2-3
AWAY Jablonec
1.01 xG 4.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 9
194 Passes 445
71% Pass Accuracy 88%
8 Box Touches 40
4 Crosses 41
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ceske Budejovice vs Jablonec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec nicked a narrow win over Ceske Budejovice 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jablonec as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ceske Budejovice had 34% of the ball to Jablonec's 66%, shots finished 4-21, expected goals 1.01 to 4.00 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Jablonec's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jablonec led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ceske Budejovice and 2.67 for Jablonec.

What was the final score of Ceske Budejovice vs Jablonec?

Ceske Budejovice 2-3 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceske Budejovice vs Jablonec?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ceske Budejovice 27%, draw 29%, Jablonec 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jablonec), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jablonec) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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