Buxton 0-1 Radcliffe Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.07
Over 2.5
44%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.74
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
9.59
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 28% vs market 20.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.7pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buxton EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.91/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.28
+18% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buxton
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Radcliffe Borough
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2024 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 0-2 HT 0-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
12.03.2022 Buxton Buxton 3-0 HT 3-0 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough İNGNLP
09.10.2021 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 2-3 HT 1-2 Buxton Buxton İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buxton
0-1
AWAY Radcliffe Borough
68% Ball Possession 32%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Buxton vs Radcliffe Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radcliffe Borough squeezed past Buxton 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Buxton at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Buxton had 68% of the ball to Radcliffe Borough's 32%, shots finished 11-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Buxton had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Buxton and 0.67 for Radcliffe Borough.

What was the final score of Buxton vs Radcliffe Borough?

Buxton 0-1 Radcliffe Borough in the England - Conference on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buxton vs Radcliffe Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buxton win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Buxton 47%, draw 26%, Radcliffe Borough 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Buxton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Buxton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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