Farnborough 3-0 Weymouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 28% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farnborough EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Weymouth EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +0%
1.84/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.66
+5% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farnborough
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Weymouth
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
26.10.2024 Weymouth Weymouth 1-1 HT 0-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
11.11.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 1-1 HT 0-1 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
21.02.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 3-1 HT 2-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
25.10.2022 Weymouth Weymouth 0-1 HT 0-1 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farnborough
3-0
AWAY Weymouth
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Farnborough vs Weymouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farnborough ran out comfortable winners over Weymouth 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Farnborough as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Farnborough had 44% of the ball to Weymouth's 56%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Farnborough had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Farnborough and 0.75 for Weymouth.

What was the final score of Farnborough vs Weymouth?

Farnborough 3-0 Weymouth in the England - Conference on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farnborough vs Weymouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 50%, draw 25%, Weymouth 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farnborough) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Farnborough) ✗ Under 2.5
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