Aveley 1-2 Weston-super-Mare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.75
No
60%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.96
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.55
6+ Goals
7%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 36% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
53%
-13.5pp
60%
BTTS No
47%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aveley EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 39%
-23% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +7%
1.12/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.21
-20% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aveley
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
26.10.2024 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 4-1 HT 1-1 Aveley Aveley İCON
04.11.2023 Aveley Aveley 2-0 HT 1-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aveley
1-2
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aveley vs Weston-super-Mare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare squeezed past Aveley 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Weston-super-Mare made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aveley had 51% of the ball to Weston-super-Mare's 49%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aveley and 2.00 for Weston-super-Mare.

What was the final score of Aveley vs Weston-super-Mare?

Aveley 1-2 Weston-super-Mare in the England - Conference on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aveley vs Weston-super-Mare?

Before kick-off our model rated an Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Aveley 36%, draw 27%, Weston-super-Mare 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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