Salisbury 1-3 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.97
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
29%
3.53
6+ Goals
9%
14.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.53 — our 29% vs market 21.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.1pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.3pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-4.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.0pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 40%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
0.61/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.18
-54% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salisbury
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Chelmsford City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 2-1 HT 1-1 Salisbury Salisbury İCON
11.01.2020 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 4-0 HT 1-0 Salisbury Salisbury FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salisbury
1-3
AWAY Chelmsford City
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City got the better of Salisbury 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and on the day Chelmsford City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Salisbury had 46% of the ball to Chelmsford City's 54%, shots finished 5-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chelmsford City led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Salisbury and 3.00 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs Chelmsford City?

Salisbury 1-3 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salisbury win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 35%, draw 32%, Chelmsford City 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Salisbury) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salisbury) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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