Welling United 0-1 Dorking Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
51%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.86
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.65
6+ Goals
9%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 29% vs market 27.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
51%
Away Win
58%
-7.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.2pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welling United EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 62%
+18% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
1.90/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/1.41
+64% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -34%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
254 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Welling United
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 3.20
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
18.04.2022 Welling United Welling United 0-4 HT 0-3 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
11.12.2021 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 3-1 HT 1-1 Welling United Welling United İCON
13.02.2021 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 5-0 HT 2-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
30.11.2019 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welling United
0-1
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Welling United vs Dorking Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Welling United 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dorking Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Welling United had 40% of the ball to Dorking Wanderers's 60%, shots finished 4-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dorking Wanderers led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Welling United and 3.20 for Dorking Wanderers.

What was the final score of Welling United vs Dorking Wanderers?

Welling United 0-1 Dorking Wanderers in the England - Conference on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welling United vs Dorking Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Welling United 23%, draw 25%, Dorking Wanderers 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorking Wanderers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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