Ashton United vs Lancaster City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ashton United v Lancaster City — Team-Based Signals
Ashton United vs Lancaster City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Ashton United
İNGNLP
0-2
HT 0-0
Ashton United
FAK
2-4
HT 1-3
Lancaster City
İNGNLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Ashton United
İNGNLP
Ashton United 2-1 Lancaster City — Actual Match Statistics
Ashton United squeezed past Lancaster City 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ashton United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ashton United had 48% of the ball to Lancaster City's 52%, shots finished 6-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lancaster City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ashton United and 1.50 for Lancaster City.
What was the final score of Ashton United vs Lancaster City?
Ashton United 2-1 Lancaster City in the England - Non League Premier on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ashton United vs Lancaster City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ashton United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ashton United 43%, draw 28%, Lancaster City 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ashton United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.