Lancaster City vs Ashton United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lancaster City v Ashton United — Team-Based Signals
Lancaster City vs Ashton United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Ashton United
İNGNLP
0-2
HT 0-0
Ashton United
FAK
2-4
HT 1-3
Lancaster City
İNGNLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Ashton United
İNGNLP
1-0
HT 1-0
Lancaster City
İNGNLP
Lancaster City 2-2 Ashton United — Actual Match Statistics
Lancaster City and Ashton United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Lancaster City had 54% of the ball to Ashton United's 46%, shots finished 11-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lancaster City and 1.83 for Ashton United.
What was the final score of Lancaster City vs Ashton United?
Lancaster City 2-2 Ashton United in the England - Non League Premier on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lancaster City vs Ashton United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ashton United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lancaster City 37%, draw 25%, Ashton United 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.