Leganes vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leganes v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals
Leganes vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Leganes 3-3 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics
Leganes and Deportivo Alaves shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Alaves at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Leganes had 42% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 58%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.84 to 1.77.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Alaves led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leganes and 1.33 for Deportivo Alaves.
What was the final score of Leganes vs Deportivo Alaves?
Leganes 3-3 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leganes vs Deportivo Alaves?
Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Leganes 23%, draw 34%, Deportivo Alaves 43%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.