Osasuna vs Real Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Osasuna v Real Madrid — Team-Based Signals
Osasuna vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Osasuna 1-1 Real Madrid — Actual Match Statistics
Osasuna and Real Madrid couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Real Madrid at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Osasuna had 46% of the ball to Real Madrid's 54%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.88 to 1.38.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Osasuna and 2.83 for Real Madrid.
What was the final score of Osasuna vs Real Madrid?
Osasuna 1-1 Real Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Osasuna vs Real Madrid?
Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 26%, draw 23%, Real Madrid 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Madrid), Over 2.5 went the other way.