Villarreal vs Valencia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Villarreal v Valencia — Team-Based Signals
Villarreal vs Valencia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Villarreal 1-1 Valencia — Actual Match Statistics
Villarreal and Valencia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Villarreal at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.
On the day, Villarreal had 50% of the ball to Valencia's 50%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.40 to 1.07.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villarreal had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Villarreal and 1.00 for Valencia.
What was the final score of Villarreal vs Valencia?
Villarreal 1-1 Valencia in the Spain - Primera Liga on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Villarreal vs Valencia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Villarreal 53%, draw 22%, Valencia 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Villarreal), Over 2.5 went the other way.