Adelaide United vs Newcastle Jets Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Adelaide United v Newcastle Jets — Team-Based Signals
Adelaide United vs Newcastle Jets Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Newcastle Jets
AVUS
2-4
HT 2-3
Adelaide United
AVUS
0-1
HT 0-1
Newcastle Jets
AVUS
2-1
HT 1-0
Newcastle Jets
AVUS
Adelaide United 1-2 Newcastle Jets — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle Jets edged past Adelaide United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Adelaide United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Adelaide United had 64% of the ball to Newcastle Jets's 36%, shots finished 25-11, expected goals 2.63 to 0.88 — on chances, Adelaide United could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide United had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Adelaide United and 0.83 for Newcastle Jets.
What was the final score of Adelaide United vs Newcastle Jets?
Adelaide United 1-2 Newcastle Jets in the Australia - A-League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Adelaide United vs Newcastle Jets?
Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United 44%, draw 24%, Newcastle Jets 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Adelaide United) went the other way.