Melbourne City vs Perth Glory Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melbourne City v Perth Glory — Team-Based Signals
Melbourne City vs Perth Glory Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Melbourne City
AVUS
2-4
HT 1-1
Melbourne City
AVUS
Melbourne City 1-0 Perth Glory — Actual Match Statistics
Melbourne City nicked a narrow win over Perth Glory 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Melbourne City as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Melbourne City had 60% of the ball to Perth Glory's 40%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.60 to 0.51.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 4.17 goals for Melbourne City and 2.00 for Perth Glory.
What was the final score of Melbourne City vs Perth Glory?
Melbourne City 1-0 Perth Glory in the Australia - A-League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melbourne City vs Perth Glory?
Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne City win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Melbourne City 59%, draw 21%, Perth Glory 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne City), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.