Chennaiyin FC 2-1 Punjab FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 27% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chennaiyin FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Punjab FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.33/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.76
-14% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
19.2 Crosses 17.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chennaiyin FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Punjab FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.09 xG 1.27
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
343 Passes 267
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.10.2024 Punjab FC Punjab FC 3-2 HT 0-1 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
11.01.2024 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Punjab FC Punjab FC HINSK
18.12.2023 Punjab FC Punjab FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
29.10.2023 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 5-1 HT 3-0 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
19.06.2019 Punjab FC Punjab FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC AFCŞL2
03.04.2019 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Punjab FC Punjab FC AFCŞL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chennaiyin FC
2-1
AWAY Punjab FC
1.33 xG 0.95
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
169 Passes 281
63% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chennaiyin FC vs Punjab FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chennaiyin FC nicked a narrow win over Punjab FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Chennaiyin FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Chennaiyin FC had 41% of the ball to Punjab FC's 59%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.33 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Punjab FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chennaiyin FC and 1.17 for Punjab FC.

What was the final score of Chennaiyin FC vs Punjab FC?

Chennaiyin FC 2-1 Punjab FC in the India - Super League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chennaiyin FC vs Punjab FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Punjab FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chennaiyin FC 35%, draw 29%, Punjab FC 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Punjab FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Punjab FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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