Kerala Blasters 0-3 ATK Mohun Bagan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 15 Feb 2025

Kerala Blasters
0-3 HT 0-2
ATK Mohun Bagan
📅15/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
India - Super League – 2025/2026

Kerala Blasters vs ATK Mohun Bagan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 29% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kerala Blasters v ATK Mohun Bagan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerala Blasters EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.19/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.11
+22% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
248 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
18.3 Crosses 19.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Kerala Blasters vs ATK Mohun Bagan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerala Blasters
1W-1D-4L
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.15 xG 1.27
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
298 Passes 334
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.12.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 3-2 HT 1-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
13.03.2024 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 3-4 HT 0-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
27.12.2023 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 0-1 HT 0-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
18.02.2023 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 HT 1-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
16.10.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-5 HT 1-2 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
19.02.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-2 HT 1-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL

Kerala Blasters 0-3 ATK Mohun Bagan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kerala Blasters
0-3
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan
1.02 xG 1.28
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
431 Passes 184
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kerala Blasters vs ATK Mohun Bagan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan cruised past Kerala Blasters 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; ATK Mohun Bagan found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kerala Blasters had 67% of the ball to ATK Mohun Bagan's 33%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.02 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ATK Mohun Bagan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kerala Blasters and 2.67 for ATK Mohun Bagan.

What was the final score of Kerala Blasters vs ATK Mohun Bagan?

Kerala Blasters 0-3 ATK Mohun Bagan in the India - Super League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerala Blasters vs ATK Mohun Bagan?

Before kick-off our model rated an ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kerala Blasters 36%, draw 26%, ATK Mohun Bagan 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HİNSL More India - Super League
15 Feb 2025
14:30 Chennaiyin FC vs Punjab FC Analysis →