Jarun 0-1 Bijelo Brdo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.2pp
28%
Draw
33%
-4.1pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.5pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarun EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bijelo Brdo EU Bookmakers 34%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.01/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.27/2.46
-1% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / -55%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarun
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
22.09.2024 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 0-2 HT 0-2 Jarun Jarun HIR2
23.03.2024 Jarun Jarun 1-3 HT 1-2 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
23.02.2024 Jarun Jarun 2-2 HT 0-1 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
30.09.2023 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 0-0 HT 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarun
0-1
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jarun vs Bijelo Brdo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bijelo Brdo nicked a narrow win over Jarun 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Jarun at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Jarun had 57% of the ball to Bijelo Brdo's 43%, shots finished 5-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Jarun and 1.25 for Bijelo Brdo.

What was the final score of Jarun vs Bijelo Brdo?

Jarun 0-1 Bijelo Brdo in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarun vs Bijelo Brdo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jarun win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jarun 43%, draw 28%, Bijelo Brdo 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Jarun) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jarun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HIR2 More Croatia - 2.HNL
15 Feb 2025
17:00 Orijent 1919 vs Opatija Analysis →