Kecskemeti TE 5-0 MTK Budapest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
44%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.46
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.28
6+ Goals
11%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.0pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.6pp
44%
Away Win
36%
+7.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.35/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.25
-31% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
21.8 Crosses 20.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kecskemeti TE
0W-2D-4L
AWAY MTK Budapest
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.90 xG 1.90
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
346 Passes 276
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 3-1 HT 2-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
30.03.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-2 HT 1-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
02.12.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-2 HT 1-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
19.08.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-0 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
02.05.2015 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-0 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
18.10.2014 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 0-1 HT 0-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kecskemeti TE
5-0
AWAY MTK Budapest
2.94 xG 0.41
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
301 Passes 467
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
38 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kecskemeti TE vs MTK Budapest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kecskemeti TE swept aside MTK Budapest 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was MTK Budapest at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kecskemeti TE had 41% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 59%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.94 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kecskemeti TE and 1.50 for MTK Budapest.

What was the final score of Kecskemeti TE vs MTK Budapest?

Kecskemeti TE 5-0 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kecskemeti TE vs MTK Budapest?

Before kick-off our model rated an MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kecskemeti TE 33%, draw 23%, MTK Budapest 44%. The final score 5-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (MTK Budapest) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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