Debrecen 1-2 Puskas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 27% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Debrecen EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.35/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.20
+2% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +48%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
15.8 Crosses 24.0
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Debrecen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Puskas FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.73 xG 2.64
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
274 Passes 432
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 31
8 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
18.05.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 4-1 HT 2-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
24.02.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 1-0 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
28.10.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
14.04.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 0-1 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
02.03.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 1-3 HT 1-2 Puskas FC Puskas FC MACK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Debrecen
1-2
AWAY Puskas FC
0.72 xG 1.93
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
289 Passes 244
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 27
25 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Debrecen vs Puskas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC nicked a narrow win over Debrecen 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Puskas FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Debrecen had 54% of the ball to Puskas FC's 46%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.72 to 1.93 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Puskas FC's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puskas FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Debrecen and 1.67 for Puskas FC.

What was the final score of Debrecen vs Puskas FC?

Debrecen 1-2 Puskas FC in the Hungary - NB I on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Debrecen vs Puskas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 29%, draw 28%, Puskas FC 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puskas FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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