Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-0 CD Tapatio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 15 Feb 2025

Tepatitlán de Morelos
1 - 0 HT 0 - 0
CD Tapatio
📅15/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CD Tapatio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
53%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.82
Over
49%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
46%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Tepatitlán de Morelos v CD Tapatio — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Tapatio The Market 27%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.84 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.06
0.86 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.48
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Average
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards –

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CD Tapatio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos
1W-3D-2L
AWAY CD Tapatio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
The Meetings
11.11.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-1 HT 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
08.11.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
01.09.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-0 HT 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
24.03.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-4 HT 0-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
25.09.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-2 HT 2-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
27.03.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-2 HT 0-2 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
REVIEW Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CD Tapatio
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Tepatitlán de Morelos edged past CD Tapatio 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tepatitlán de Morelos as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Tapatio led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 1.67 for CD Tapatio.

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CD Tapatio Result & Final Score

Tepatitlán de Morelos 1 - 0 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CD Tapatio Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Tepatitlán de Morelos win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 53%, draw 24%, CD Tapatio 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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