Mazatlan 1-1 Santos Laguna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 15 Feb 2025

Mazatlan
1-1 HT 1-1
Santos Laguna
📅15/02/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Mazatlan vs Santos Laguna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.32
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 26% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mazatlan v Santos Laguna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -27%
1.26/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.83
-51% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
27.3 Crosses 14.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Mazatlan vs Santos Laguna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mazatlan
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Santos Laguna
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.21 xG 1.83
52% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
360 Passes 350
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.10.2024 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-0 HT 0-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
26.02.2024 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-0 HT 0-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
24.11.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 2-1 HT 1-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
02.11.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 3-1 HT 2-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
21.01.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-2 HT 0-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
03.10.2022 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 3-0 HT 0-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK

Mazatlan 1-1 Santos Laguna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mazatlan
1-1
AWAY Santos Laguna
2.39 xG 0.57
48% Ball Possession 52%
22 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 8
307 Passes 345
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mazatlan vs Santos Laguna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mazatlan and Santos Laguna couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mazatlan at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Mazatlan had 48% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 52%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.39 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos Laguna led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mazatlan and 1.50 for Santos Laguna.

What was the final score of Mazatlan vs Santos Laguna?

Mazatlan 1-1 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mazatlan vs Santos Laguna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mazatlan win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mazatlan 48%, draw 22%, Santos Laguna 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mazatlan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mazatlan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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