Club America vs Necaxa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Club America v Necaxa — Team-Based Signals
Club America vs Necaxa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-1
Necaxa
MEK
2-1
HT 1-0
Necaxa
MEK
1-2
HT 1-0
Club America
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
Club America
MEK
Club America 2-3 Necaxa — Actual Match Statistics
Necaxa nicked a narrow win over Club America 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Club America carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Club America had 70% of the ball to Necaxa's 30%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.01 to 0.76 — on chances, Club America could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Club America and 0.83 for Necaxa.
What was the final score of Club America vs Necaxa?
Club America 2-3 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Club America vs Necaxa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Club America 55%, draw 23%, Necaxa 22%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.