Tijuana 1-2 FC Juarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
7.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tijuana EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
1.63/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.37
-8% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 80%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
23.3 Crosses 19.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tijuana
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Juarez
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.38 xG 1.14
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
296 Passes 369
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2024 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-1 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
15.04.2024 FC Juarez FC Juarez 0-1 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
30.09.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 5-1 HT 1-1 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
15.01.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 3-0 HT 2-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
09.07.2022 Tijuana Tijuana 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
21.03.2022 Tijuana Tijuana 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tijuana
1-2
AWAY FC Juarez
2.28 xG 0.99
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
489 Passes 239
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
38 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tijuana vs FC Juarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Juarez edged past Tijuana 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tijuana at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Tijuana had 62% of the ball to FC Juarez's 38%, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 2.28 to 0.99 — the balance of chances actually favoured Tijuana.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tijuana had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tijuana and 1.17 for FC Juarez.

What was the final score of Tijuana vs FC Juarez?

Tijuana 1-2 FC Juarez in the Mexico - Primera on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tijuana vs FC Juarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tijuana win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 49%, draw 25%, FC Juarez 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tijuana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tijuana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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