FC Juarez 1-1 Tijuana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 7 Nov 2024

📅07/11/2024 · 🕒06:06 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.54
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.89
6+ Goals
11%
8.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.2pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tijuana EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -14%
1.24/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.25
-4% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
19.9 Crosses 14.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Juarez
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Tijuana
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.12 xG 1.10
59% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
389 Passes 233
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2024 FC Juarez FC Juarez 0-1 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
30.09.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 5-1 HT 1-1 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
15.01.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 3-0 HT 2-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
09.07.2022 Tijuana Tijuana 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
21.03.2022 Tijuana Tijuana 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
14.08.2021 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-1 HT 1-1 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Juarez
1-1
AWAY Tijuana
1.75 xG 1.87
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
260 Passes 509
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Juarez vs Tijuana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Juarez and Tijuana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FC Juarez had 37% of the ball to Tijuana's 63%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 1.75 to 1.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tijuana led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Juarez and 1.33 for Tijuana.

What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Tijuana?

FC Juarez 1-1 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Juarez vs Tijuana?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Juarez win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 39%, draw 25%, Tijuana 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Juarez), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Juarez) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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