Atlas vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atlas v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals
Atlas vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Cruz Azul
MEK
0-1
HT 0-1
Atlas
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Atlas
MEK
3-2
HT 1-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
1-0
HT 1-0
Atlas
MEK
Atlas 2-2 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics
Atlas and Cruz Azul shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was Cruz Azul at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Atlas had 47% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 53%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.86 to 1.28.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlas had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atlas and 1.00 for Cruz Azul.
What was the final score of Atlas vs Cruz Azul?
Atlas 2-2 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atlas vs Cruz Azul?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Atlas 25%, draw 27%, Cruz Azul 48%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.