Tigres UANL vs Toluca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Tigres UANL v Toluca — Team-Based Signals
Tigres UANL vs Toluca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tigres UANL 2-1 Toluca — Actual Match Statistics
Tigres UANL found just enough to beat Toluca 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%) came home.
Under the surface, Toluca saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.79 to 1.66.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toluca led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Tigres UANL against 2.00 for Toluca.
Tigres UANL vs Toluca Result & Final Score
Tigres UANL 2 - 1 Toluca in the Mexico - Primera on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Tigres UANL vs Toluca Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 56%, draw 23%, Toluca 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.