Necaxa 1-1 Atletico San Luis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 7 Nov 2024

📅07/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.28
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
2.99
6+ Goals
11%
9.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+5.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.2pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Necaxa EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
1.19/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.67
+0% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -33%
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
281 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 84%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
20.6 Crosses 18.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Necaxa
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Atletico San Luis
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.06 xG 1.11
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
239 Passes 378
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 Necaxa Necaxa 3-1 HT 2-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
23.10.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 4-0 HT 2-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
07.01.2023 Necaxa Necaxa 2-3 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
08.08.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-2 HT 1-2 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
16.04.2022 Necaxa Necaxa 4-2 HT 3-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
13.08.2021 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-2 HT 0-1 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Necaxa
1-1
AWAY Atletico San Luis
1.26 xG 0.74
36% Ball Possession 64%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
242 Passes 472
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Necaxa vs Atletico San Luis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Necaxa and Atletico San Luis couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Necaxa at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Necaxa had 36% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 64%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.26 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Necaxa had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Necaxa and 1.83 for Atletico San Luis.

What was the final score of Necaxa vs Atletico San Luis?

Necaxa 1-1 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Necaxa vs Atletico San Luis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Necaxa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 43%, draw 24%, Atletico San Luis 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Necaxa), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Necaxa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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