UTC Cajamarca 0-4 Binacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Binacional EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -25%
1.67/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.62
+30% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
25.5 Crosses 14.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTC Cajamarca
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Binacional
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.07 xG 1.16
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
232 Passes 296
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.08.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 3-2 HT 0-2 Binacional Binacional PER
03.04.2023 Binacional Binacional 1-1 HT 0-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
16.10.2022 Binacional Binacional 2-0 HT 1-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
31.05.2022 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-0 HT 0-0 Binacional Binacional PER
07.08.2021 Binacional Binacional 1-0 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
22.02.2020 Binacional Binacional 1-0 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTC Cajamarca
0-4
AWAY Binacional
0.61 xG 4.64
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
334 Passes 233
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH UTC Cajamarca vs Binacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Binacional swept aside UTC Cajamarca 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was UTC Cajamarca at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 57% of the ball to Binacional's 43%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 0.61 to 4.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Binacional led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for UTC Cajamarca and 1.17 for Binacional.

What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs Binacional?

UTC Cajamarca 0-4 Binacional in the Peru - Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs Binacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTC Cajamarca win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 49%, draw 26%, Binacional 25%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (UTC Cajamarca), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UTC Cajamarca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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