Cusco FC vs Melgar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cusco FC v Melgar — Team-Based Signals
Cusco FC vs Melgar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Melgar
PER
1-1
HT 1-0
Cusco FC
PER
2-2
HT 1-2
Cusco FC
PER
3-1
HT 1-1
Melgar
PER
Cusco FC 0-1 Melgar — Actual Match Statistics
Melgar nicked a narrow win over Cusco FC 1-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Melgar as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Cusco FC had 64% of the ball to Melgar's 36%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 0.61 to 1.02.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cusco FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cusco FC and 1.67 for Melgar.
What was the final score of Cusco FC vs Melgar?
Cusco FC 0-1 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cusco FC vs Melgar?
Before kick-off our model rated an Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cusco FC 34%, draw 23%, Melgar 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melgar) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.