ADT vs Atletico Grau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ADT v Atletico Grau — Team-Based Signals
ADT vs Atletico Grau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Grau
PER
1-1
HT 1-1
ADT
PER
1-1
HT 1-0
Atletico Grau
PER
4-1
HT 3-0
ADT
PER
ADT 4-3 Atletico Grau — Actual Match Statistics
ADT squeezed past Atletico Grau 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had ADT as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, ADT had 48% of the ball to Atletico Grau's 52%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 3.34 to 2.07 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold ADT's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Grau led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for ADT and 1.67 for Atletico Grau.
What was the final score of ADT vs Atletico Grau?
ADT 4-3 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ADT vs Atletico Grau?
Before kick-off our model rated a ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split ADT 49%, draw 27%, Atletico Grau 24%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADT) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.