Alianza Atletico vs Alianza Lima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Atletico v Alianza Lima — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Atletico vs Alianza Lima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Atletico
PER
0-1
HT 0-1
Alianza Lima
PER
1-0
HT 1-0
Alianza Atletico
PER
4-2
HT 2-1
Alianza Lima
PER
Alianza Atletico 3-1 Alianza Lima — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Atletico beat Alianza Lima 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Alianza Lima at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alianza Atletico had 37% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 63%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 1.29 to 1.77 — on chances, Alianza Lima could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Alianza Atletico and 1.50 for Alianza Lima.
What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Alianza Lima?
Alianza Atletico 3-1 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs Alianza Lima?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 22%, draw 31%, Alianza Lima 47%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.