Gornik Zabrze 3-2 Radomiak Radom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.71
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.1
X/1
14%
4.65
X/2
10%
7.46
X/X
10%
4.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
24.7
2/2
10%
5.6
2/X
6%
14.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.7 — our 14% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +5%
1.63/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.52
+13% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
20.0 Crosses 17.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Zabrze
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.03 xG 1.36
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
379 Passes 287
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2024 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-1 HT 0-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POLK
09.08.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-2 HT 0-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
09.12.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-1 HT 1-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
23.07.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-2 HT 0-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
12.02.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-0 HT 0-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
30.07.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-3 HT 0-2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Zabrze
3-2
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.10 xG 1.48
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 10
490 Passes 263
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Zabrze squeezed past Radomiak Radom 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gornik Zabrze as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Gornik Zabrze had 62% of the ball to Radomiak Radom's 38%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.10 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gornik Zabrze and 0.83 for Radomiak Radom.

What was the final score of Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom?

Gornik Zabrze 3-2 Radomiak Radom in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Zabrze win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gornik Zabrze 45%, draw 28%, Radomiak Radom 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gornik Zabrze), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) ✓ BTTS Yes
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