Legia Varşova 2-0 Puszcza Niepolomice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
2.79
6+ Goals
11%
8.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.55
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.95
X/1
18%
3.76
X/2
9%
16.85
X/X
9%
7.37
2/1
8%
21.55
2/2
6%
14.5
2/X
7%
23.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
71%
-15.1pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.3pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+9.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
2.10/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.59
+11% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +63%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
454 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 78%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
24.3 Crosses 15.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legia Varşova
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.42 xG 1.51
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 3
410 Passes 151
85% Pass Accuracy 64%
34 Box Touches 20
35 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.08.2024 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 2-2 HT 2-2 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
18.02.2024 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-1 HT 0-1 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL
13.08.2023 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 1-1 HT 1-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Varşova
2-0
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
2.27 xG 0.62
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 6
294 Passes 209
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
36 Box Touches 22
28 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Legia Varşova vs Puszcza Niepolomice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legia Varşova beat Puszcza Niepolomice 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Legia Varşova as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Legia Varşova had 55% of the ball to Puszcza Niepolomice's 45%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 2.27 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Legia Varşova and 1.33 for Puszcza Niepolomice.

What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Legia Varşova 2-0 Puszcza Niepolomice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 55%, draw 23%, Puszcza Niepolomice 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Varşova) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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