Gornik Zabrze 0-1 Radomiak Radom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
37%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.59
6+ Goals
11%
14.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.59 — our 26% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
27%
+9.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.67/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.15/1.92
+8% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -89% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Zabrze
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.14 xG 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
377 Passes 311
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-2 HT 0-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
09.12.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-1 HT 1-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
23.07.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-2 HT 0-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
12.02.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-0 HT 0-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
30.07.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-3 HT 0-2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
29.04.2022 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-0 HT 0-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Zabrze
0-1
AWAY Radomiak Radom
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomiak Radom squeezed past Gornik Zabrze 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Radomiak Radom made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Gornik Zabrze had 59% of the ball to Radomiak Radom's 41%, shots finished 23-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gornik Zabrze had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gornik Zabrze and 0.67 for Radomiak Radom.

What was the final score of Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom?

Gornik Zabrze 0-1 Radomiak Radom in the Poland - Cup on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Zabrze win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gornik Zabrze 38%, draw 25%, Radomiak Radom 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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