Santa Clara vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santa Clara v Benfica — Team-Based Signals
Santa Clara vs Benfica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Santa Clara
POR
0-3
HT 0-2
Benfica
POR
2-1
HT 0-1
Santa Clara
POR
0-5
HT 0-1
Benfica
POR
Santa Clara 0-1 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica nicked a narrow win over Santa Clara 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Santa Clara had 43% of the ball to Benfica's 57%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.81 to 2.60 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Benfica's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Santa Clara and 3.33 for Benfica.
What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Benfica?
Santa Clara 0-1 Benfica in the Portugal - Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Benfica?
Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 29%, draw 25%, Benfica 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.