Parma vs Hellas Verona Prediction — Model Probabilities
Parma v Hellas Verona — Team-Based Signals
Parma vs Hellas Verona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Parma 2-1 Hellas Verona — Actual Match Statistics
Parma shaded a tight game against Hellas Verona 2-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Parma as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, possession split 76% to 24% in Parma's favour, shots finished 27-4, expected goals 1.66 to 0.89.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hellas Verona led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Parma against 1.50 for Hellas Verona.
Parma vs Hellas Verona Result & Final Score
Parma 2 - 1 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Parma vs Hellas Verona Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Parma win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Parma 41%, draw 33%, Hellas Verona 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.