Napoli 2-2 Roma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 15 Feb 2026

Napoli
2 - 2 HT 1 - 1
Roma
📅15/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Napoli vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.39
Draw
37%
2.76
Away
24%
3.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
68%
1.47
Over
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.17
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2.03
2-3
46%
1.8
4-5
13%
6.01
6+
2%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.67
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.9
X/1
16%
5.05
X/2
10%
6.31
X/X
26%
3.28
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
12%
5.17
2/X
6%
14.35
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Napoli v Roma — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Napoli The Market 42%
Signal
AWAY Roma The Market 32%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.33 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.77
0.99 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.09
Great Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
316 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3

Napoli vs Roma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Roma
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.92 xG 0.86
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
435 Passes 360
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
30.11.2025 Roma Roma 0-1 HT 0-1 Napoli Napoli İTA
02.02.2025 Roma Roma 1-1 HT 0-1 Napoli Napoli İTA
24.11.2024 Napoli Napoli 1-0 HT 0-0 Roma Roma İTA
28.04.2024 Napoli Napoli 2-2 HT 0-0 Roma Roma İTA
23.12.2023 Roma Roma 2-0 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
29.01.2023 Napoli Napoli 2-1 HT 1-0 Roma Roma İTA

Napoli 2-2 Roma — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli
2 - 2
AWAY Roma
0.56 xG 1.79
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
503 Passes 300
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Napoli vs Roma
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Napoli and Roma finished all square at 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 37% / 24%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, possession split 61% to 39% in Napoli's favour, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.56 to 1.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Napoli against 1.00 for Roma.

Napoli vs Roma Result & Final Score

Napoli 2 - 2 Roma in the Italy - Serie A on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Napoli vs Roma Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Napoli 39%, draw 37%, Roma 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Napoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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