Orijent 1919 2-3 HNK Cibalia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.0pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orijent 1919 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
0.62/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.49
-41% / +117% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -33%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orijent 1919
2W-3D-1L
AWAY HNK Cibalia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 0-2 HT 0-0 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 HIR2
06.04.2025 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 2-2 HT 1-1 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
23.11.2024 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 2-1 HT 0-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
14.09.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-1 HT 0-0 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 HIR2
21.04.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-1 HT 1-0 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 HIR2
24.02.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-0 HT 0-0 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orijent 1919
2-3
AWAY HNK Cibalia
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orijent 1919 vs HNK Cibalia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Cibalia edged past Orijent 1919 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Orijent 1919 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Orijent 1919 had 45% of the ball to HNK Cibalia's 55%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orijent 1919 had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Orijent 1919 and 1.00 for HNK Cibalia.

What was the final score of Orijent 1919 vs HNK Cibalia?

Orijent 1919 2-3 HNK Cibalia in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orijent 1919 vs HNK Cibalia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orijent 1919 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Orijent 1919 41%, draw 26%, HNK Cibalia 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Orijent 1919), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orijent 1919) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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