Kashiwa Reysol vs Tokyo Verdy Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kashiwa Reysol v Tokyo Verdy — Team-Based Signals
Kashiwa Reysol vs Tokyo Verdy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Kashiwa Reysol 1-2 Tokyo Verdy — Actual Match Statistics
Tokyo Verdy squeezed past Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kashiwa Reysol at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 55% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy's 45%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.67 to 0.37 — the balance of chances actually favoured Kashiwa Reysol.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashiwa Reysol had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 0.83 for Tokyo Verdy.
What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Tokyo Verdy?
Kashiwa Reysol 1-2 Tokyo Verdy in the Japan - J1 League on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Tokyo Verdy?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 60%, draw 23%, Tokyo Verdy 17%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.