Avispa Fukuoka 0-2 Cerezo Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.89
6+ Goals
9%
17.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.68
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
16%
5.78
X/2
11%
5.99
X/X
15%
4.76
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
20%
3.9
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
0.95/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.47
-24% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 80%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
17.6 Crosses 17.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.11 xG 1.72
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
271 Passes 420
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.09.2025 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-4 HT 1-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
24.05.2025 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
09.11.2024 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
18.05.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-3 HT 0-2 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
30.06.2023 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 0-1 HT 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
25.02.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
0-2
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka got the better of Avispa Fukuoka 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Cerezo Osaka found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Avispa Fukuoka had 50% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka's 50%, shots finished 8-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerezo Osaka led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 1.83 for Cerezo Osaka.

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?

Avispa Fukuoka 0-2 Cerezo Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerezo Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 35%, draw 27%, Cerezo Osaka 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerezo Osaka), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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