Cerezo Osaka 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.19
6+ Goals
8%
20.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.16
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
14%
4.87
X/2
8%
6.71
X/X
13%
4.21
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
19%
5.18
2/X
8%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-4.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +7%
1.42/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.85
-7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +56%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.9 Crosses 19.8
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerezo Osaka
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.00 xG 0.90
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
380 Passes 256
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
18.05.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-3 HT 0-2 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
30.06.2023 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 0-1 HT 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
25.02.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
30.07.2022 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-0 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
17.04.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerezo Osaka
2-0
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
2.53 xG 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
449 Passes 258
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka beat Avispa Fukuoka 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Cerezo Osaka found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cerezo Osaka had 60% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 40%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 2.53 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerezo Osaka had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cerezo Osaka and 0.50 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Cerezo Osaka 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - J1 League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerezo Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka 38%, draw 28%, Avispa Fukuoka 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerezo Osaka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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