Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Urawa Red Diamonds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.33
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.97
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.48
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.9
X/1
14%
4.98
X/2
14%
6.34
X/X
15%
3.77
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
13%
5.04
2/X
6%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.3pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.4pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.23/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.22
-15% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
15.5 Crosses 16.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.95 xG 0.94
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
323 Passes 349
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.06.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-1 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
28.04.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 HT 1-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
18.08.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0 HT 1-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
02.08.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 3-0 HT 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JPK
09.04.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
10.08.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 3-0 HT 2-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
2-1
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
59% Ball Possession 41%
25 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa Red Diamonds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nagoya Grampus edged past Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Nagoya Grampus found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 59% of the ball to Urawa Red Diamonds's 41%, shots finished 25-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Urawa Red Diamonds led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 1.17 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Urawa Red Diamonds in the Japan - J1 League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 35%, draw 30%, Urawa Red Diamonds 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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