Nagoya Grampus 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 26 Jun 2024

📅26/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.55
6+ Goals
10%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.62
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
9%
5.1
X/2
15%
5.81
X/X
13%
3.87
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
14%
4.36
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
1.23/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.23
-12% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 80%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
15.1 Crosses 17.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.66 xG 0.54
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 Passes 368
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 HT 1-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
18.08.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0 HT 1-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
02.08.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 3-0 HT 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JPK
09.04.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
10.08.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 3-0 HT 2-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JLK
06.08.2022 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 3-0 HT 2-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
0-1
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
0.58 xG 1.65
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 12
263 Passes 412
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 25
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa Red Diamonds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red Diamonds nicked a narrow win over Nagoya Grampus 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Urawa Red Diamonds made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 41% of the ball to Urawa Red Diamonds's 59%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.58 to 1.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Urawa Red Diamonds led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 1.00 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Nagoya Grampus 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds in the Japan - J1 League on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Before kick-off our model rated an Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 35%, draw 27%, Urawa Red Diamonds 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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