Marsaxlokk FC 2-1 Hibernians FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.8
Over
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.74
No
49%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
40%
4-5
22%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsaxlokk FC The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernians FC The Market 32%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
3.00 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.43
1.00 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.14
Great Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Average Defensevs comparable teams Bad
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
338 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Hibernians FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.11.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 2-2 HT 2-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
26.01.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MALTP
07.11.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
07.01.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
11.03.2023 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-3 HT 0-2 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
26.02.2023 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
2-1
AWAY Hibernians FC
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Marsaxlokk FC vs Hibernians FC
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Marsaxlokk FC nicked a narrow win over Hibernians FC 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Marsaxlokk FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.74, roughly 57%.

Under the surface, Marsaxlokk FC had 38% of the ball to Hibernians FC's 62%, shots finished 11-7.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marsaxlokk FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Marsaxlokk FC and 0.83 for Hibernians FC.

Marsaxlokk FC vs Hibernians FC Result & Final Score

Marsaxlokk FC 2-1 Hibernians FC in the MALTP on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Marsaxlokk FC vs Hibernians FC Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Marsaxlokk FC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Marsaxlokk FC 36%, draw 30%, Hibernians FC 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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