Altglienicke 4-0 Chemie Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.0pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altglienicke EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 23%
-22% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -28%
1.80/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.33
-8% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altglienicke
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Chemie Leipzig
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 0-3 HT 0-1 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
03.02.2023 Altglienicke Altglienicke 4-0 HT 3-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
13.08.2022 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-2 HT 1-0 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
29.04.2022 Altglienicke Altglienicke 2-3 HT 1-2 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
06.11.2021 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 0-1 HT 0-0 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
07.03.2020 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 2-4 HT 0-2 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altglienicke
4-0
AWAY Chemie Leipzig
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Altglienicke vs Chemie Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altglienicke ran out comfortable winners over Chemie Leipzig 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Altglienicke as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Altglienicke had 64% of the ball to Chemie Leipzig's 36%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altglienicke had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Altglienicke and 1.00 for Chemie Leipzig.

What was the final score of Altglienicke vs Chemie Leipzig?

Altglienicke 4-0 Chemie Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altglienicke vs Chemie Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altglienicke win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Altglienicke 48%, draw 27%, Chemie Leipzig 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Altglienicke) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Altglienicke) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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