Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-1 Qingdao Red Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.59
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.05
6+ Goals
12%
19.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.7pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions EU Bookmakers 20%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.21/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.29
+5% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +112% / -27%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 73%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
25.0 Crosses 14.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.84 xG 0.32
74% Ball Possession 26%
20 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
456 Passes 97
85% Pass Accuracy 50%
31 Box Touches 7
30 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.07.2024 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-1 HT 0-1 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions ÇİN2
23.03.2024 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions 1-0 HT 0-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
1-1
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions
1.98 xG 1.21
71% Ball Possession 29%
32 Total Shots 3
12 Shots on Target 1
15 Corners 3
352 Passes 91
82% Pass Accuracy 53%
40 Box Touches 11
55 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Red Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long and Qingdao Red Lions couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chongqing Tongliang Long at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Chongqing Tongliang Long had 71% of the ball to Qingdao Red Lions's 29%, shots finished 32-3, expected goals 1.98 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Qingdao Red Lions led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chongqing Tongliang Long and 1.00 for Qingdao Red Lions.

What was the final score of Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Red Lions?

Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-1 Qingdao Red Lions in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Red Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Chongqing Tongliang Long 53%, draw 29%, Qingdao Red Lions 18%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN2 More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division
15 Mar 2025
14:30 Nantong Zhiyun vs Shanghai Jiading Analysis →
14:30 Guangzhou E-Power vs Yanbian Longding Analysis →
14:30 Guangxi Baoyun vs Liaoning Shenyang Analysis →