Guangxi Baoyun 0-3 Liaoning Shenyang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.78
Draw
29%
4.62
Away
52%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.7
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
2.99
6+ Goals
10%
9.72
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 28% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+8.7pp
29%
Draw
19%
+10.7pp
52%
Away Win
71%
-19.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 75%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.49/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.87
+85% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -13%
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
190 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
Crosses 14.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangxi Baoyun
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.13 xG 0.76
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
430 Passes 234
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.07.2024 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 2-1 HT 0-1 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
17.03.2024 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 1-1 HT 0-1 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
09.09.2023 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 0-0 HT 0-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
27.05.2023 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 4-0 HT 3-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
29.11.2022 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 1-1 HT 0-1 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
04.11.2022 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-2 HT 0-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangxi Baoyun
0-3
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang
0.61 xG 0.76
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
254 Passes 497
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Guangxi Baoyun vs Liaoning Shenyang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liaoning Shenyang cruised past Guangxi Baoyun 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Liaoning Shenyang as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Guangxi Baoyun had 39% of the ball to Liaoning Shenyang's 61%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 0.61 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Guangxi Baoyun and 1.00 for Liaoning Shenyang.

What was the final score of Guangxi Baoyun vs Liaoning Shenyang?

Guangxi Baoyun 0-3 Liaoning Shenyang in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangxi Baoyun vs Liaoning Shenyang?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liaoning Shenyang win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Baoyun 19%, draw 29%, Liaoning Shenyang 52%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) ✗ Under 2.5
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